Will The Kansas City Chiefs Bring Home More Silverware in 2023?
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When Patrick Mahomes won the National Football League MVP award in his first season under center for the Kansas City Chiefs, what would have been a greater stretch?
That would be his only regular season MVP award until now, or that the Chiefs would have only one Super Bowl victory?
Both of those looked CERTAIN to be greater than one, but here we are, heading into Week 15 of the 2022 NFL campaign, and each of those things happened just once in this reign of dominance for the Chiefs. Kansas City has been to the AFC Championship Game every season Mahomes has been under center–2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021–but has just one Super Bowl win (LIV), one loss (LV), and is 2-2 in conference title games. Maybe the more surprising thing is that Mahomes has not picked up another MVP award, despite posting video game numbers in most seasons.
That might be about to change, though: currently, Mahomes is leading the MVP race with most sports books through Week 14 (+120 odds by Dailystoke), but it is not done and dusted. It has been a two-horse race with Philadelphia Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts (+150 odds), who has led the Birds to a 12-1 start. But Joe Burrow, the signal caller for the Cincinnati Bengals, is also making a late charge up the board (+600), and is getting backing from a lot of bettors across the country.
But this is a team sport, and bettors want to know if the Chiefs are going to be able to get back to the Super Bowl as AFC champions, and win a second title in five years. The Chiefs are currently the second choice to win the AFC, behind the Buffalo Bills, who would have home field and the bye in the Wild Card round if the season ended after Week 14. Kansas City is currently the third choice to win the Super Bowl, with Buffalo and Philadelphia just ahead of the Chiefs.
In the wide-open AFC, it could prove to be most fortuitous to get that top seed this season. The bottom half of the bracket could see Cincinnati (which beat the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game in January) and a potent Miami offense waiting in the AFC Divisional Round: that would be, of course, after a Wild Card game against a team like the Jets, Chargers, or Patriots that finishes seventh.
The Chiefs do offer some decent value with sports books at +450 to win the Super Bowl and +225 to win the AFC, although they have already lost at home to the Bills this season. What about Mahomes winning the MVP?
If the Eagles finish the year with 14-16 wins, which would be a 10+ win jump from 2020 (the year before Hurts was installed as a starter), it might be tough to deny the Philly quarterback the award, even with Mahomes’ gaudy numbers.
If Hurts sits a couple of games after the Eagles clinch, though, it could open the door for Mahomes. It might be worth a shot.
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